Fitch: The progress of inflation decline seems to have ended. Brian Coulton, chief economist of Fitch, said that the decline of core commodity prices (the main force of inflation decline this year) seems to have ended. With the increase of automobile prices, the core commodity prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month. Service inflation is declining, but the rate of decline is very slow, because rent inflation is stubborn, and the service inflation is 4.6%, which is still far higher than the pre-epidemic level.Traders have increased their bets on the ECB's interest rate cut, and it is now expected that the ECB will cut interest rates by 158 basis points in 2025.The Nasdaq rose to 1%, while the S&P 500 index rose 0.58% and the Dow rose 0.1%.
Bank of Canada: Wage growth shows signs of slowing down, but wage growth related to productivity is still at a high level.According to the news of China Securities Industry Association on December 11th, on December 5th, the meeting of directors and all members of regional equity market professional committee of China Securities Association was held in Chongqing. The meeting studied and implemented the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee and the new "National Nine Articles" in the capital market, and studied and discussed the key work of the Committee. The main person in charge of the China Securities Association, the relevant persons in charge of the Second Market Division of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, Chongqing Local Financial Administration and Chongqing Securities Regulatory Bureau attended the meeting, and more than 60 staff members of CSI Technology, Chongqing Securities and Futures Association and Securities Industry Association and Committee members attended the meeting.Vanguard went against tradition and suggested the strategy of "six shares of debt and four shares" to deal with policy risks. In view of the high interest rate and stock valuation, Vanguard Group suggested that investors establish defensive positions in the new year and increase their investment in bonds instead of stocks. The company's 2025 outlook lists the asset allocation model built by economists and portfolio teams, which allocates 62% of the funds to fixed-income securities and the remaining 38% to stocks. In contrast, the ratio of stocks to bonds in the traditional portfolio is 60% to 40%. Although the US economy is still strong, the stock market valuation is close to historical highs, which makes stocks more vulnerable to potential policy risks after Trump takes office. At the same time, interest rates may remain higher than those in the 2010 s, thus providing investors with stable income and more protection in the case of risk aversion.
Fosun Travel responded to privatization: a transitional measure focusing on the light asset model. Following the change of CEO, Fosun Tourism Culture Group (hereinafter referred to as "Fosun Travel") started the privatization process again. On December 11th, in response to Fosun Travel's plan to privatize and delist Hong Kong stocks, Fosun Travel responded that this privatization proposal is based on the decision made by the company's long-term development, and the company will pay more attention to the transition of light asset model. After the privatization is completed, Fosun Travel will continue to maintain the normal operation of its existing business. Nowadays, for Fosun Travel, it can be said that it has reached a "crossroads" of transformation. Some experts in the industry have analyzed that at this time of privatization, Fosun Travel may have transformation needs, and the current low valuation of Hong Kong stocks will allow enterprises to maintain their stock prices at more cost. In fact, in recent years, some tourism enterprises have been privatized and delisted, but when making privatization decisions, they still have to weigh the pros and cons. (beijing business today)The Bank of Canada's statement no longer mentions that it is reasonable to expect further interest rate cuts if the economic development is consistent with the forecast. The need for further interest rate cuts will be assessed and a decision will be made one by one.CFO of Goldman Sachs: As President-elect Trump nominates candidates for government positions, the FTC may take a new direction.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13